Showing posts with label Sam Zell. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sam Zell. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 20, 2022

Sam Zell about equal risk and trust in relationship

"If you need to quote refer to a document in order to define the rules of your relationship you dont got much of a relationship."


//Sam Zell om sitt partnerskap med Bob, där dom ägde 50 procent, om förtroende, trust och relationer, relationship //

 

From Podcast:

Momentum Audio [Podcast], (2021-03-22). 019: Sam Zell on Seeing the Solutions. 

33.40 ”I was mostly the guy who did the traveling so I used to call him from all kinds of places and filling him in. It was being able to wrestle with problems with somebody who had the same risk that you had. And the same exposure that you had. And having that leds to a level of trust. And a level of kind of mutual understanding. I mean when he was building a house we were cash poor. When I was building a house he was cash poor. You know we lived out of the same checkbook. You know after he died, and he died in 1990 the lawyer came to me and said >> You know I’ve been looking through all the documents and there’s no partnership agreement between the two of you<<. And I said >>We never even talked about that, the need for an agreement between us. We resolved issues and there were obviously issues where we didn't agree on everything. But we resolved them by talking about them, not by reading the fine print.

Now I don't recommend an oral agreement as a method of doing business but I certainly think that if you need to quote refer to a document in order to define the rules of your relationship you dont got much of a relationship.” – Sam Zell


Reference:

Momentum Audio [Podcast], (2021-03-22). 019: Sam Zell on Seeing the Solutions. Website: https://www.podbean.com/site/EpisodeDownload/DIRDCB4DABHVFE4

Friday, April 15, 2022

Sam Zell about Simplicity and Downside Risk

Sam Zell about Simplicity and Risk, and importance of high standard education

Guts and instinct are all simplicity. I went to Harvard Business School in 1988 and I spoke to three hundred of them and I just beat the s—t out of them... it’s all about what’s simple. What’s the shortest distance between two points.” – Sam Zell, Bloomberg 2014

Sam get to comment on Tom Perkins letter to (Wall Street Journal) regarding attention to the parallels of Nazi Germany to its war on its "one percent," namely its Jews, to the progressive war on the American one percent, namely the "rich."

3.00 ”I get the feeling that he’s right. The quote 1 % are being pummeled because it’s politically convenient to do so. The problem is that the world and this country should not talk about envy of the 1 %. It should talk about emulating the 1 percent. The 1 percent work harder. The one percent are much bigger factors in all forms of our society.” – Sam Zell, Bloomberg 2014

The politics of envy, the politics of class warfare are what has separated America from many part of the rest of the world. And we have benefited dramatically from not having class warfare, from not having envy.” – Sam Zell, Bloomberg 2014

5.00 ”I think that is a function of policies. And I think that overall that we passed for the last 50 years, whether it be unfunded social security or other issues, have all contributed to this disparity. And we need to fix our government. We don't need 17 000 new pages of federal regulations in the last five years. So I think all those things contribute to this disparity. And the more complicated our government makes our world, the more the one percent can afford to hire somebody to figure it out and the other guy can't. But if you simplify government neither one of them is required and therefore the disparity slows down.” – Sam Zell, Bloomberg 2014

-----------  ---------

51.00

When I took Econ 101 at the University of Michigan I walked into the first classroom and written on the blackboard was Supply and Demand. And I have to be honest with you, I am not sure that there was ever anything else in Econ 101 that I learned that was relevant. And if you understand and are focused on how supply and demand affects pricing, how it affects decision making, how it affects risk. It’s the governing principles of everything. But it’s also simple.” – Sam Zell, (#407 Tim Ferriss Show, 2020)

 

At that time there were a lot of quote on quote income producing assets that were available. I’ve always believed that there’s a lot of quote on quote execution risk that has to be fit into your thought process, when you’re making a decision. In that particular time, again keeping it very simple, if I could establish a definition of cash flow. In effect I would literally,, I remember going to a developers and saying, >>It’s real simple. Take the bottom line multiply by 6 and that’s what I’ll pay<<. Now I didn't know that that was a very high price. That I was creating a price structure that was very attractive to me. I just thought gee I wouldn't do this unless I got a 16 percent return, so 6 times cashflow made perfect sense. And that’s the way I thought about it. That’s the way I thought about how do I raise money. In the same manner. What was attractive enough to get somebody to entrust their money to me.”  – Sam Zell, (#407 Tim Ferriss Show, 2020)

53.20 ”I thought about the fact that somebody had to cut the lawn. And I knew that if I grew the size of the business it wouldn't be me who had to cut the lawn. And not being the one cutting the lawn or cleaning the hallways or whatever what certainly as much of an objective as making money.” –  – Sam Zell, (#407 Tim Ferriss Show, 2020)

//Developer, construction risk, he later met with Jay Pritzker And hit it off //

 

54.10 ”I did that in the late 60’s when I built my first apartment project in Lexington Kentucky and where I also built the project that ultimately led to my relationship with the Pritzkers which was this project in Lake Tahoe. In both cases they were development projects and they were from the ground up. And in both cases I was very disappointed at how difficult it was. And I kept looking and thinking this doesn't make any sense; you are taking on all this risk. You starting to build something when you don't know what the markets are gonna be like when you finish it. Either you’re putting it up for rent or you putting it up for sale depends on what the condition are when you finish. Your subject to very incessant cost, I mean there’s no greater lesson of inflation than designing a project and finding out that it cost 20 percent more than you thought it was going to cost because the cost have gone up in the meantime. So all the variables, and the weather and all the things that happen and contractors making mistakes. And when they made a mistake there was nobody else to blame it on. And the fact that they made a mistake was to bad but I was the guy who had to live with that mistake and live through it. So I kept looking at all the variables and saying ”I don't understand why would anyone be a builder when you’re taking on all these variables and the best that could happen is that at the end you produce the same thing you got when you bought an existing stream of cashflow”.” – Sam Zell, (#407 Tim Ferriss Show, 2020)

55.30 ”I had a friend of mine who was a national broker of real estates,” [. . .]”He called me one morning. I was in ?Etlama? yesterday with Jay. And I said, Jay who? And he said Jay Pritzker. And I said >>Oh yeah, I’ve heard of them, they are very wealthy people in Chicago<<. He said >>Jay is really extraordinary, and Jay is looking for somebody who can come work for him who is under 30, a lawyer and a successful real estate entrepreneur<<. And I said to this guy >>If somebody actually met those criteria, why would they wanna work for Jay? Or frankly work for anybody else?<<. He said >>you’re being too glib, this is an extraordinary guy, you really need to meet him<<.”  – Sam Zell, (#407 Tim Ferriss Show, 2020)

Next morning he went over to Jay and they ”just hit it off”. - Sam Zell

56.30 ”I sat at his desk from 9 a clock to 4.30.” – Sam Zell, (#407 Tim Ferriss Show, 2020)

They then did a lot of deals together.

57.00”That was the first of maybe ten or fifteen deal that we did over the years in various different places and different kinds of structures that led me to spend a lot of time with him. And found him to be one of the most intriguing individuals and frankly the smartest risk guy I ever met. – Sam Zell, (#407 Tim Ferriss Show, 2020)

57.40 ”You had to be realistic, you had to be able to look at it and say what could go wrong. If I learn anything from him I learn that everything that went too well you could survive. The only time you couldn't survive is if it didn't go so well. So focusing on the upside was interesting but not productive. Focusing on the downside was what risk was all about. And to the extent that you could quantify the downside, to the extent that you understood what the risk it was you were taking, you chances of survival were much better.” – Sam Zell, (#407 Tim Ferriss Show, 2020)

58.40

And what he taught me more than anything else was look at the deal and figure out where is the vulnerability. Where is the assumption you’ve made that has to be right in order for the deal to work.” – Sam Zell, (#407 Tim Ferriss Show, 2020)


More about the risk and the one-percenters, the politics of envy and subsidizing

I’m a very wealthy man. I could literally put my money into the bank and play golf every day. God forbid, but I could do that. Instead I’m taking risks every day. Why? Why should I if the game is being stacked against me? So what this country needs is an ”All clear” sign. And the ”All clear” says, ”Let’s get back to business”. That’s what made this country great, that’s what creates jobs. Let’s get back to business. Stop this class warfare crap. Stop this politics of envy and in effect deliver a position to the American people that says” we have to drive the center”, which is what we have done since the beginning of this country and what has led to its success.” – Sam Zell, (Legendary Tirade About Class Warfare)

 

Sam: ”The whole focus has been on how the quote one-percenters or the ten-percenters, whatever these top earners have moved ahead of everybody.. I wonder if there’s any correlation between while they were moving ahead, the rest of the government was subsidizing more and more people in disincentivizing them. Why is it always assumed that somebody doesn't succeed because he cant as opposed to he doesn't want to or isn't incentivized.” Sam Zell, (Legendary Tirade About Class Warfare)

Talkhost: ”The opportunities is not there and it’s not a fair playing field which I’ve heard for the last two year.”

Sam: ”I’m sorry, I live with the playing field every day. I finance people starting new businesses taking all kinds of risks. Their motivation are the same as everybody's since the beginning of time.” Sam Zell, (Legendary Tirade About Class Warfare)



Sam about the education system

Sam Zell continues:

7.00 ”Instead of saying the standard must be the highest education level in the world. The standard is how do we keep the greatest number of failing teachers in place so we can be //Sam makes a quote sign with his hands// fair. Well that’s not fair. If you’re educating a kid from the hood and he wants to learn and instead of getting a teacher who wants to teach him. He gets a teacher who uses her or his job as a custodian, that’s not fair. That’s what is happening at the educational level of our country, particularly in the have-nots. It’s racist, it’s unfair, it’s everything you could imagine because you’re dooming these children, you’re dooming them.” – Sam Zell, (Legendary Tirade About Class Warfare) 

 

References:

Bloomberg Quicktake: Original [YouTube Channel], (feb. 2014). Sam Zell: The 1% Work Harder and Should Be Emulated. YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I96LY6x3FKw

 

The Tim Ferriss Show (2020-01-23). #407: Sam Zell — Strategies for High-Stakes Investing, Dealmaking, and Grave Dancing. Website: https://www.podbean.com/site/EpisodeDownload/DIR7D190C5P9RGI

NationalGoldGroup [YouTube], (oct. 2012). Sam Zell Goes On Legendary Tirade About Class Warfare, And He Thinks A Recession Is Coming - Part 2. YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8cPyMe2xOK0

Thursday, April 14, 2022

Samuel Zell about testing your limits / and more

 Samuel Zell in the podcast “Leading Voices in Real Estate”

I pretty much just found this person, Sam Zell and started watching videos and podcast of him. I think he's definitely a interesting person that fits this blog.

His origin (parents) is from Poland, but he was born in the States. He's like me, doesn't like to work for somebody else. He has used his curiosity and mind to find opportunities along the way. He always look at the risk side.

Approximately 70 percent of the time he says he needs to be right in his decision, and the risk can not be too severe.


He worked as a attorney for 4 days. Being employed. 

3.00 “A lot of people ask me when I’m going to retire. And I answering them by saying that “retire from what?” I really worked 4 days in my life for somebody else. I had a define work that were limited to those 4 days. And the rest of the time I’ve been chasing ideas and testing my limits. And my comment there is very much from a function of that. I believe that you constantly test your limits. And the day you stop testing your limits. The day you say, “I’m satisfied” or “I’ve reached my goals” That’s a pretty sad day. It’s a pretty limiting definition of who you are. So, what I’ve tried to do my selves for those I hope to inspire. I try to reinforce for them the importance of constantly readjusting their goals. Never getting too close to success. The real thrill is climbing the latter, not sitting at the top.” – Samuel Zell, (Leading Voices in Real Estate)

   Chasing deals and hustling business          

"But I am not solely, or even primarily, motivated by the accumulation of wealth. There’s a line from an old movie, Wheeler Dealers: “You don’t go wheeling and dealing for the money, you do it for fun. Money’s just a way of keeping score.” And that’s how I see it. I’ve always been much more drawn to the experience. My life is about testing my limits—and having fun in the process. I believe that 1 + 1 can equal 3. Or 4. Or 6. The fun and gratification are in figuring out how. For me, business is not a battle to be waged—it’s a puzzle to be solved." - Sam Zell, (Am I Being Too Subtle?, 2017)

Why do it if it's not fun?

"Back in 1985, the Wall Street Journal did a front-page story on me and quoted me saying “If it ain’t fun, we don’t do it.” The next day I walked into the office and all the mailroom guys were wearing T-shirts with that quote. I loved the fact that they thought to do it, that they felt they could, and that they made it happen. That epitomizes the culture at my investment firm, Equity Group Investments (EGI)." - Sam Zell, (p.15,3 / 406), (Am I Being Too Subtle?, 2017)


Last minute train..The daddy that saved them from the holocausts..

6.30 “My dad was on the last train at 4.30 in the afternoon on august 31, 1939 going east. And the Luftwaffe bombed the railyard with the start of World War 2 in September first.” – Samuel Zell, (Leading Voices in Real Estate)


"I am the son of Jewish immigrants who fled Poland to escape the Holocaust and come to the United States." - Sam Zell, (p.15,3 / 406), (Am I Being Too Subtle?, 2017)

The importance of being close to the truth and knowledge in order to make the right decision. The importance of being able to interpret the reality and take decisions, not just thinking about them.

Risk benefits ratio

"My father, Bernard, bought and sold grain throughout Eastern Europe. By virtue of traveling to different countries and interfacing with different people and cultures, he had a more worldly perspective and was more attuned to geopolitics than most of his family and neighbors. He was also an avid follower of current events and relied on his shortwave radio for news, since radio in Poland was censored. He and my mother listened to reports in different languages, including reports from Germany, Britain, and America. So he was very aware of the growing danger for Jews in Poland at a time when many of his more provincial friends and family dismissed the possibility of extreme scenarios." - Sam Zell, (p.18 / 406)(Am I Being Too Subtle?, 2017)

Nowhere to go but east.

There was no place west. West wasn’t an option at that stage. So, the only option was east. As opposed to many others once he began the process, he was never going to stop short of getting to America. There was a lot of times when my mother describes saying “Alright, enough, we’re 1000 miles from the front or whatever and he just was determined the future was America and that where he had to come to.” – Sam Zell, (Leading Voices in Real Estate)

There was a lot of Jewish refugees in Tokyo in 1940 and the early parts of 41. And most of them were trying to get Visas to the United States. As a result the U.S. embassy in Tokyo was a mess. He basically concluded that what he needed to do was to go to Kobe, which was not to far away where there was another embassy. Where nobody was there. It kind of follows the thesis of my book, which is competition is great for other people, but when you wanna get something done, the less competition you have the better. And that’s how he got out. Most of the rest of the refugees ended up spending the war in Shanghai, which is where the Japanese deported them to.” – Sam Zell, (Leading Voices in Real Estate)


“Frankly, there’s no substitute for limited competition. You can be a genius, but if there’s a lot of competition, it won’t matter. I jokingly tell people that competition is great — for you. Me, I’d rather have a natural monopoly, and if I can’t get that, I’ll take an oligopoly.” Book: Am I Being Too Subtle — Sam Zell

By the way, Ayn Rand writes about Ivar Kreuger who also believed in trying to limit competition

This is from the book: Night of January 16th, Ayn Rand

"In fact, Ivar Kreuger was a man of unusual ability who had, at first, made a fortune by legitimate means; it was his venture into politics -- mixed-economy politics -- that destroyed him. Seeking a world monopoly for his match industry, he began to give large loans to various European governments in exchange for a monopoly status in their countries -- loans which were not repaid, which he could not collect and which led him to a fantastic juggling of his assets and bookkeeping in order to conceal his losses. In the final analysis, it was not Kreuger who profiteered on the ruin of the investors he had swindled; the profiteers were sundry European governments. (But when governments pursue such policies, it is not called a swindle: it is called "deficit financing.")" - Introduction, Night of January 16th, Ayn Rand


 United States is the land which has some good founding rules coming from the grounding fathers, the constitution. Back to Sam. He was born 90 days after his parents came to the United States. Sam keeps talking about his father:

9.00 ”For me it was growing up in a truly immigrant household. An immigrant that maybe is different from today’s immigrant, I don’t know. But he’s attitude was that he was the luckiest guy in the world. That he had got this extraordinary opportunity to come to the United States and start over again. The benefit from the enormous land of opportunity. He used to refer to it as the streets are paved with gold. From his perspectives and he therefore influenced me. There was just an enormous appreciation for the American people, the American system. How lucky we were to be able to recreate our lives in this environment.” – Samuel Zell, (Leading Voices in Real Estate)

The U.S. constitution stipulates among other things The First Amendment that protects the freedom of speech, religion and the press. It also protects the right to peaceful protest and to petition the government. The amendment was adopted in 1791 by some really smart persons.

“Our new Constitution is now established, everything seems to promise it will be durable; but, in this world, nothing is certain except death and taxes,” Franklin said.

By the way, the smart Benjamin Franklin is the only Founding Father to have signed all four of the key documents establishing the United States.

The Swedish constitution also have the Freedom of the Press Act and the Fundamental Law on Freedom of Expression. But we always have to fight against the ignorant people who dont understand how important this is. And cancel culture is also a big problem.

Sam continues talk about his father. 

He must have told me a hundred times how lucky I was that I was born in the United States. How the street of the United States were paved with gold, not monetary gold, but freedom. And that was really what it all meant to him. He over and over again lectured me on how important it was to understand how unique experience it was to live in a country where you really had the freedom to make decisions. You had the freedom to work harder or work less. Or change professions or do whatever it is you want to do as long as you didn't disturb your neighbor. So this was an extraordinary background for everything that eventually happened to me. And without question very much influenced how I made decision going forward. Cause more than anything else what he told me was that anything was possible. That you didnt start with a set of limitations, you start with an entire spectrum was available, how good you are, how committed you were, how hard you were willing to work that really was the limiting factor. Not the society.” – Sam Zell, 24 min, #407 Tim Ferriss Show

At the age of 11 the family moved to Highland Park, and he take the train back into downtown Chicago to attend Jewish school. There he discovered Playboy for sale at the newsstands under the elevated trains. Zell could buy copies for 50 cents apiece and then deliver them to his suburban peers for a higher price, putting a 500% profit in his pockets. 

"I recognized a need common in all 13-year-old boys, saw a restriction on supply and I took advantage of it," says Zell with a laugh. "Fifty-odd years later I'm still doing the same thing." (Investment Zen, Forbes, 2013)

"Since I was a twelve-year-old who spent afternoons exploring the streets of Chicago alone, I’ve been hungry for new experiences. So I’ve never understood the traditionally strict boundary between “work” and “fun.” If I’m being intellectually challenged, if I’m doing things I’ve never done before, if I’m using my creativity and resources to solve problems, if I’m constantly learning—that is fun." - Sam Zell, (Am I Being Too Subtle?, 2017)

12.00 ”At the time I called it naked women. Later on when I describing the situation with more sophistication. It was much easier to decide that I had recognized an unfulfilled part of the market. I also recognized where there was innate demand. I recognized the fact that artificial government regulation had prohibited the magazine from being sold where I lived. But what available below the train tracks. So, you could say that I converted what was pretty instinctual when it started.

I bought this thing, I liked it, I read it and then I showed it to a friend of mine, and he said, “Wow how do I get one of those?”. And so, we began a business”. [. . .]” I remember sitting there thinking about what the margin should be, it cost 50 cent, I ended up coming up with 3 bucks.”[. . .]” How much in absolute terms could I get and still make it not a major event for someone to participate. I also probably figured that if I got one guy to buy, I’m gonna get a lot of guys to buy. And if I got one guy to set the price and he was happy with it that was kind of a validation that’s what gonna make the business work. Demand was unlimited.” – Samuel Zell, (Leading Voices in Real Estate)


Some other quotes I find interesting from Zell:

"The true test of an entrepreneur is someone who spends his life constantly testing his limits.” – Sam Zell

"The definition of an idiot is someone who has reached their goals." – Sam Zell

"I don't do business with anybody who's not afraid, and I won't hire anybody who is confident to the point where fear is not very close to the surface. I've often said that fear and courage are cousins and very closely related." – Sam Zell

Most of the remaining relatives were killed in the holocaust.


So it all comes down to risk and Sam Zell is an expert in this area. 2007 at the top of the real estate market he got out. Sold Equity Office properties.

An article in New York Times sums it up:
"In 2007, Sam Zell, the billionaire Chicago investor, sold a portfolio of 573 properties he had assembled over three decades, Equity Office Properties Trust, to the Blackstone Group for $39 billion. It was the largest private equity deal in history, but Blackstone did not stop there: it immediately flipped hundreds of the buildings for $27 billion.

Today, the wreckage of those purchases is strewn across the country, from Southern California to Austin, Tex., to Chicago to New York. Many of the 16 companies that bought Equity Office buildings are now stuck with punishing debt, properties whose values are plummeting and millions of feet of office space they cannot fill.

Few deals better exemplify the excesses of the commercial real estate boom than the dismemberment of the Equity Office empire, and fewer still better underscore their bitter consequences." (Bagli C. V., 2009)

Better to look forward than dwell in the past?

I think my attitude is that last time I checked my neck didn’t turn all the way around. So, I have therefore never spent much time trying to look back and I spend all my time trying to look forward.” – Sam Zell, (19.00 building Equity Group Investments)


Reference:
Zell S. (may, 2017). Am I Being Too Subtle?: Straight Talk From a Business Rebel. Penguin Random House. (p. 13,7 / 406) (Epub book)

The Tim Ferriss Show (2020-01-23). #407: Sam Zell — Strategies for High-Stakes Investing, Dealmaking, and Grave Dancing. Website: https://www.podbean.com/site/EpisodeDownload/DIR7D190C5P9RGI

Episode: Sam Zell | Founder & Chairman of Equity International (Rebroadcast)
(2018-12-17), Website: https://www.podbean.com/site/EpisodeDownload/DIR1034A73A3YQPH


Brennan M. (sept. 2013). The Investment Zen Of Sam Zell: Inside The Grave Dancer's $4 Billion Business Empire. Forbes. Website: https://www.forbes.com/sites/morganbrennan/2013/09/18/the-zen-of-sam-zell-inside-the-grave-dancers-4-billion-business-empire/


Bagli C. V. (Feb. 6, 2009). Sam Zell’s Empire, Underwater in a Big Way. New York Times. Website:  https://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/07/business/07properties.html


Trinity SMF Podcast [Podcast], (april 2022). Sam Zell on building Equity Group Investments. Website: https://www.podbean.com/site/EpisodeDownload/DIR136D174CHA2AC

Michael Burrys book shelf, some of the books he has

Book shelf of Michael Burry You know who Michael Burry is right? The guy that saw the subprime mess coming years ahead and bet against it......